Sunday, January 24, 2016

On Meteorologists Getting it Right (But No One Noticing)



On the whole, meteorologists got this weekend’s snowstorm right. That doesn’t mean they won’t get the requisite amount of shit from the angriest/snarkiest among us when they get something wrong next time.

It’s a pastime up there with “complaining about construction” and “making sarcastic comments about the Oscars.” Mockery of weathermen and women mostly comes about when storms like this underperform. I truly believe there’s a segment of the population upset that the snowstorm dumped the predicted amount of snow (officially measured at “a whole freaking ton”), as it robbed them of a chance to take those lying bastards at AccuWeather down a peg.

In advance of this weekend’s storm, a meteorologist friend of mine posted an op-ed e written by a fellow meteorologist, Becky Elliot, in the Washington Post lashing out at the heat forecasters take when Winter Storm JONAS turns out to be winter storm jonas. (Also, remember when everyone said that the Weather Channel naming winterstorms like hurricanes was dumb?)

Elliot’s argument is two-pronged. First, she rails against a portion of the public’s tendency to turn individual storms or streaks of weather as an argument for or against climate change. This is a good point, because doing this is incredibly stupid, whether you’re arguing for or against global warming.
Secondly, she implores the public to lay off meteorologists when forecasts aren’t correct. Elliot says those in her line of work beat themselves up enough when forecasts are wrong, and that random assholes online or in the public eye who pile on aren’t helping. While this is certainly true, I’m less on board with this argument because I used to be a journalist.

Alright, a college journalist. But still.

As someone who studied media and still desires to work in media again, I used to feel the need to defend my journalistic brothers and sisters from every last detractor who bashed “irresponsible” journalism – which almost always meant the journalist presented a viewpoint that they didn’t agree with. It usually went something like this:

ARTICLE: Something People Are Very Passionate About
Commenter: This is awful journalism. They’re ignoring the real FACTS of the matter, which is that they’re WRONG.

Except this would play out in real life, and I would point out that not all journalists are paid based on online “clicks” and on the whole don’t allow slant or bias to populate their stories…and it wouldn’t matter. People who aren’t heavily invested in a particular field are happy to carry on with their preconceived notion of the field. This is in part because it allows people to act like experts about jobs or lines of work that they aren’t familiar with, and because it fits with their existing worldview. It’s the same reason retail workers or food servers have strong opinions about how customers should treat them at their place of business when most people just wish they’d get their coupons processed or get their order right FOR ONCE (even though said retail workers or food servers get it right 9 times out of 10).


Point is, if a person is the type of individual to blast the entire practice of meteorology, or economics, or customer service, or whatever, based upon one or two noticed inaccuracies in contrast to 98 unnoticed instances of good work…that person’s probably not going to change their worldview because one person says “lay off.” It’s a lot easier for someone to play Monday morning quarterback than acknowledge someone else’s good work.

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